Natural Finance Purpose and Rationale
Introductory axioms
Possible economic gains from non profit
corporations
- Lend to it.
- Share redemptions and Capital disbursements
- Salaries
- Reselling economic units part of membership (Co-op, cohousing/condo, timeshare
- non-economic advantages: power to hire and select location, status
Economic principles (semi-controversial)
- Interest rates are variable, and manipulated by governments, because the value of money is variable.
- Inflation has been lower than technological growth over the last 20 years such that the value of money has remained the same throughout the period.
- Investors should not value risk. There is no need for options or stock purchases from an armslength investor if a loan is possible. Risk appetite is a delusion.
Investment vs Savings
- savings is money saved up for a flexible purpose
- An investment is savings tied up for a purpose.
- The liquidity of an investment is a measure of the possibility to cash out/sell the investment and the relative penalties for doing so early.
- Investments that mature soon are inherently more liquid than those that mature far away
- Savings do not need to offer a return in order for people to save. Investments do.
- Savers can obtain investment returns as long as they stick to short term maturing investments.
- Investments that do not offer a liquid cash out option, still offer title to investment to be transferable or posted as collateral for a cash loan.
Artificial attractiveness of stocks
Investors choose stocks over loans/bonds because :
Investors choose stocks over loans/bonds because :
- Tax preferential returns (capital gains/dividends vs ordinary interest income)
- Institutional delusions and lies inflate expected returns
- Most companies eventually go bankrupt (study dow 100-140 years ago. Other national stock markets)
- Management is in a position to make false promises to shareholder investors.
- The capitalist investors perspective is to be paid a fair return for his risk of capital. Its the managers effort that deserves unlimited reward.
- Capitalist interests are best served by lending in a project that offers general viability in being able to repay his loan, because ensuring management responsibility is beyond the effort of his capital.
Natural Finance introductory axioms
Natural Interest rate
Investors require
compensation in order to tie up capital in an investment. Factors
that affect the interest/compensation required of a loan are:
- Liquidity (ease to resell/cash out investment)
- Expected actual repayments of the loan
A
natural interest rate is
the minimum one where required investment would be made for a
project. It could be called the fair interest rate.
While I will propose fixed rate threshold concepts, its important
to understand the features of a loan that lower its natural interest
rate:
- Quicker expected repayment is naturally more attractive (longer time is necessarily more uncertain, and uncertainty of opportunity)
- Tangible security/collateral
- Other lenders/financiers exist and want to lend under some circumstances
- The existing debt level and payment obligations are low.
- Borrower surplus (EBIT) certainty is high
- Laddering of repayments is more attractive than a single end payment.
From a borrower's
perspective:
- fixed payment obligations at specific dates is naturally less attractive
- if the project is distressed, exponential compound interest is less attractive, and risks causing its collapse.
- As project success materializes, the opportunity to refinance at lower rates reflecting lower risks to success.
Queued capped soft loan system
(QCSL)
A
soft loan is one
where repayment is based on ability to pay. Royalties, and
contractual tithes on gross margins and surpluses, and specific
revenue streams are set aside to repay the loan(s). Circumstances
(when less expensive loans replace existing expensive ones) where
tithes on future loans are set aside to repay earlier loans are also
favoured. The borrower may repay the loan faster than he is
obligated to.
A
series of queued soft loans
is one where the lenders are arranged by date of loan, and the first
lenders in the queue are repaid ahead of the rest. The benefit to
the lender is that no further borrowing by the project can negatively
affect the borrowers ability to repay the specific loan the lender
made.
A
capped loan is one
where a maximum repayment amount exists. 200% is a natural cap (100%
total interest - not annual interest) for capitalists.
No Franie, this is not a pyramid scheme
New investors who pay into the queue for the purpose of displacing existing investors never have their funds touched by the enterprise. New projects and operations are funded through separate bidding processes than secondary investor repurchases.
Open Live corporate financials
An Open
corporation is one that engages a comptroller/auditor to
represent all of its stakeholders, and enables trust in the
corporation by outsiders, by ensuring all of its contractual
obligations are met, and so encourages financial creativity, and thus
participation, by removing concerns that corporate manipulation might
allow it to escape its promises.
Live financials
are the continuous update of key financial health indicators of the
company. Key financial health indicators are cash on hand, all
financial measures to which tithes are channeled to pay loans,
average interest rate, expected date all loans repaid, and individual
investor tracking expected repayment of their loans.
Case study #1: buying a desert
island to settle it
Settling a private
island will cost $500K to buy it, and $500K to develop it for its
settler group. If the project has no investment, it is extremely risky to
lend it $10K. If the project already has $990K gathered, it is
substantially less risky. Many ideas are great if you have the
funding, and stupid if you don't. Such a project might have a fair
loan interest rate of 30% for the first 10K, and 12% for the last 10K
A QCSL allows the
public to buy out existing lenders in one of 2 ways. 1. Directly buy
the loan from the lender either through the company exchange system,
or directly, at agreed exchange price. 2. Lend to the company at
below its average QCSL interest rate, so that proceeds are used to
discharge first loan in queue. A minimum increment below average
interest rate is set by the company (should typically be .05%, and
should not be more than .50%-1%). The average rate less the increment
forms the natural bid rate explained below
Traditional Bond auction
Governments
auction bonds regularly. A successful auction occurs when the
government receives more bids than it needs, and it selects the best
ones to fund its offering.
QCSL auction
The private island
group purchase needs at least 500K to start operations, and another
500K in commitments soon after. The auction process uses open bids,
and has the added feature that the lowest bids accepted will be first
in queue to be repaid. The auction has 2 stages. 1. Date bids are
binding. 2. Date payments are due.
Bids may be
retracted until the binding date(1). Bids may be lowered (to gain
advantage of queue priority) until due date(2). 5 business days
after binding date(1), a reserve rate will be set by corporation.
Payments made before due date start to accrue interest, but do not
offer certainty as to queue position. Only bidders who bid below the
reserve rate, can pay prior to due date. Bidders who are above the
reserve rate may be displaced/rejected at any time before due
date(2), typically because someone else made a better bid.
QCSL deferred auctions and bids
A startup company
needs operating cash until it is ready to market its offerings.
Smaller subsequent (monthly/weekly) auctions are used for that
purpose. It is normal for bids for future funding to be for a higher
interest rate because those accepted bids will all be placed behind
the queue of existing investors, and if they wished to bid below the
average company rate, they could do so and gain queue access ahead of
all next auction members.
Future auctions
have the binding and due dates above. With the following difference.
A binding date can be set at any time by the company, earlier than
originally expected. When binding date is surprise dictated by
company, reserve rate is set at the maximum bid, and trapped bidders
may change their bid to the maximum in exchange for the privilege to
be displaced if other members of public out bid them.
Terms: natural interest rate part 2
QCSL Natural interest rate
is the average rate currently prescribed on all QCSL loans
QCSL effective rate
can be lower than the natural rate, if some of the loans have reached
their cap.
QCSL natural bid rate
is the natural rate less a minimum increment. If the effective rate
is higher than this number, then the company is legally bound to
accept all bids at this rate and distribute them to the QCSL investor
pool in their entirety.
When
the QCSL effective rate is less than the natural bid rate then the
QCSL binding bid rate
is the average of the effective rate and the natural bid rate.
QCSL binding bid rate
legally obligates the company to accept bids at that rate for
investor distribution.
Natural bid rate generic increment
table
the minimum
increment below the natural rate forms the Natural bid rate
QCSL rates above
20% have increment level of 0.5%
QCSL rates above
14% have increment level of 0.25%
QCSL rates above
11% have increment level of 0.15%
QCSL rates above
9% have increment level of 0.1%
QCSL rates above
5% have increment level of 0.05%
QCSL rates below
5% have increment level of 0.01%
Comprehensive
example: If all investors invested $1000 each at 22% prescribed
rate, while 50% of the QCSL loans have reached their cap value of
$2000, then the natural bid rate is 21.5%. The effective rate is
11%, and the binding bid rate is 16.25% ((21.5+11)/2)
Programmed bids and Proceeds
disbursements
Loans are offered
in $1000 lots to allow investors to ladder rates and spread expected
disbursements. An odd lot is any amount under $1000. Lenders and
bidders can leave disbursement instructions programmed either with
the company, or on a private agent's computer (if non-trusting). The
default instructions are to receive cash in full, but common
alternatives are to reinvest at the average rate (benefit is
investing at a rate slightly above the automatically accepted rate),
or offer an ultimatum bid on the companies next auction (typically
average rate + 0.5%). Another programmed direction can be for an investor to forgo repayment and stay at the head of the repayment queue for security reasons, if the rate on his loan is below the company's natural (average) rate. Investors may offer differing directions for full and
odd lots.
Cooperatives and Non-profits part2
A cooperative is
for the benefit of its members. These can be producers (employees)
or consumers or both. A non profit or pro social corporation, still
needs incentives for employees. Customers can generally be
incentivised by low prices or high value. High value (low prices)
benefits society by creating more demand for organization's products,
or letting society and consumers have more left over money to spend
on other pursuits. Most mandates other than the maximization of
shareholder wealth are a pro social mandate, and so any non-profit
organization is prosociety, or should be understood for its pro
society virtues.
Non profit
mandates should fit with social profit mandates, and even qualify as
a charity when they do. A simple social profit mandate is to have
common shares (can be class B non voting) owned by a charity or
government. It's sensible for municipalities to own utilities. It
is pro community to do so, because any profits reduce tax
requirements, and eliminates the evils to the community that would be
inflicted by monopolies or cartels.
Natural interest rate for forced
savings
Forced savings is
holding your money in riskless cash until one of 3 events occurs: 1.
It is purposed for an investment, at which time the investor with the
forced savings begins to obtain agreed investment returns, or 2. It
is returned at the holder's discretion, typically because the holder
has obtained better terms for the investment. Or 3. The expiration
date for the forced savings agreement expires, and the funds are
released back to the investor
The
natural interest rate for forced savings is
set arbitrarily at 5%. A risky planned purposed investment is part
of a forced savings agreement, but the holding period is a riskless
investment. From the saver's perspective it is without control over
its length, and conversion to investment.
Subordinate Tranches
(Executive/Management/Labour/Customers/Society)
The primary goal
of a corporation (profit or non profit) is (should be) to pay off its
investors. A QCSL financed corporation is generally done so to keep
its ownership within the founders vision (typically founders but
maybe customers or society). The founders would typically be
executive management.
Deferred
compensation systems can also be implemented as QCSL. This aligns
employee motivation far more closely with continued long term health
of the organization and society, than stock, or especially option,
compensation. The value of the compensation depends on sustained
surpluses. Employee subordinate tranches are QCSL loans who
have a lower payment priority than the investor QCSL tranche.
Section below on x-prizes discusses covenants that can allow some
payments to subordinate tranches before the prime investor tranche is
paid in full
Customer and
social tranches have no necessity. Customers can be compensated
through lower prices. However, customers can be your best
salespeople. Philosophical indoctrination and motivated evangelism
can be accomplished through a tithe on surpluses, and especially if
it confers some decision authority or input in the organization.
Social tranches can be issued for political and PR purposes, for
charitable contributions, tax regulation compliance, or as exchange
for use of community property. These alternate tranches can serve to
lower funding costs for the organization, or can help management
stave off distress covenants that allow QCSL investors to dispossess
its authority. They are typically the last tranche equivalent to common shares (paid after other tranches are paid).
Different rules for Employee
subordinate tranches (EQCSL)
- Employees are paid a mix of cash and deferred compensation.
- Deferred compensation is in the form of QCSL benefits. The EQCSL
- The prescribed interest rate is not bid on, but set mathematically as the average between the natural (average) investor QCSL rate, and the natural forced savings rate of 5%. Example: if the QCSL natural rate for the company is 20%, then the EQCSL interest rate is [(20+5)/2] 12.5%
- If the QCSL natural rate is below 5%, then the EQCSL rate is the QCSL natural rate.
- The capped return on EQCSL is 300%. Compared to 200% for investor QCSL
- Each pay period, the queue order for each contribution is set as lowest contribution receives highest priority. Ties are settled by giving highest priority to least senior employee and/or alternating between alphabetical and reverse alphabetical order.
Distress covenants
Any organizational
financing is subject to adding covenants that outline conditions that
all of the QCSL financers can replace management. Typical basis for
covenants would be x% of loans at cap rate (50%), and y years until
expected repayment, and high debt to assets ratio. The simplest
definition of distress is being unable to finance current and future projects.
In a hopelessly
distressed situation, there needs to be a way to push management out.
A hoplelessly distressed situation occurs when QCSL balance is so high at such a high rate, that there appears to be little hope the enterprise could ever earn enough to pay it all. The short version of the “bankruptcy” solution is
creditors (including employees) by unanimous consent of a formula (expeted enterprise cashflow discounted at rate likely slightly below distressed high natural rate) to calculate the NPV of each loan, and then voluntarily consent convert any part of their QCSL NPV value and
move it to a new last priority queue before x prize management bonus. There it grows at 5% with a cap double the original cap ($4000 for investor $1000 original loan). Management of the
company may be replaced under the reorganization, and all of his deferred salary is transferred by force to the new tranche. The directorship transfers to those who have converted their NPV loan values proportional to those contribution amounts.
However, balancing the fairness of distress takeover conditions is complex and not completely necessary. The key is to pay executives well below market cash salaries, such that when they see the impossibility of ever cashing in their deferred compensation, they choose to pursue other employment. If the enterprise has any viability for investors at the head of the queue (and it normally would), then appointment of an executive at cash salary (or even voluntary exectutive from head of investor queue) and elimination of the X prize, can also provide some chaotic continuity.
Dynamics
A company doing
well has its borrowing costs naturally fall, as it becomes more
attractive to other investors, and existing investors are likely to
want to reinvest when paid off.
A company that is
not improving continues to have unlimited access to capital without
compromising its existing investors.
A declining company can benefit from the sunk costs of investors to continue operational funding at likely rising rates.
A company in
distress moves to reduce its loan burden by converting as much of it as possible into new directorship entitlements.
Cooperative Financial Comptrolling
Corporation (CFC)
A credit union is
cooperative banking for the benefit of its members. Micro lending is
matching multiple small lenders to small borrowers. A CFC can
provide all of the services of a credit union, but replace or
supplement loan officers with “relationship banking”
comptrollers for funding organizations, thus providing matching
service from small lenders to large borrowers. In addition to loan
screening, the comptroller negotiates corporate covenants for theoretical stakeholders and
performs necessary monitoring activities.
The borrower's
duties typically involve keeping all revenue accounts with banking
institution affiliated with, and monitored by, CFC, provide constant free access to all
facilities, and comply with records requests.
The comptroller
may offer (and prefer it be accepted) the borrower accounting and auditing services, if
qualified, but no other relationship with borrower is permitted. All
comptroller duties are paid for by borrower at rates prescribed at
time of loan. The comptroller's duty is to enforce the covenants
protecting the lenders, and other promiseholders, and to ensure accurate financial health and
activity of the borrower.
The CFC may
naturally manage QCSL auction and bidding system, and its affiliated bank/finance company may provide
high backstop bids for future periods to assist borrower planning.
The comptroller
and CFC are encouraged to participate in lending to the borrower from
their own funds.
CFC contribution streams
- membership fees (if cooperative of investors and/or borrowers)
- comptroller services
- comptroller issue escalation
- fees on trades among QCSL lenders
- interest on member account balances
- Legal enforcement fees
- Managing borrower/member subordinate and sub-project QCSLs
CFC cost centers
- bidding and trading software
- comptroller training
- member relations
Affiliated Banking services
- Backstop bids for fixed costs/future projects
- Cash account transactions/security/convenience.
Separation of banking and
comptroller services
A CFC does not
need to be a banking institution. An association with a bank is not
even strictly necessary. A financial/investment entity can provide
backstop bids, and the transaction monitoring function can either be
accomplished by somewhat simplified trust banking procedures, by a
formal trust, or by a trust equivalent the CFC is the legal
corporation responsible for revenue and expenses, and the operating
enterprise a division of the CFC. This latter arrangement, simply
formalizes an independent treasury that does not answer to a CEO. The key to ensuring maximum trust in the enterprise's promises.
Comptroller function
The only
corruption to the rights of investors and other tithe holders
dependent on a borrower's revenue streams, is the borrower hiding
revenue or diverting what should be organization revenue to outside
entities for his personal benefit. Deferred income systems for
employees, suppliers, and society can help uncover such corruption,
because these stakeholders have vested interest in revenue being
properly accounted, and the opportunity to scrutinize the enterprise
closely. Any cash revenue must have sophisticated auditing controls (smart networked cash registers).
The other danger
to investor realization of deserved remuneration is the same as any corporate finance structure: if management
loses hope in the enterprise, and does too little to progress the
enterprise. Deferred compensation system with a low cash salary
helps ensure that executives will leave if they have better
opportunities. An executive cash salary that is too low or too high
can hurt investors.
Success Prizes: X Prize
A Prize for paying
off all stakeholder obligations given to executive in charge at the
time of accomplishment is an important incentive for executives to
fulfil the enterprise's mandates. If a social mandate is part of the
corporate charter then the size of the prize should be modest. $4
Million would be a sufficient offer for most people to accept as a
success prize prior to the funding of their idea. If society is entitled to most
of the remaining surpluses, then the prize is pro social. The reward
for fulfilling all financial promises is arbitrarily named the Y
prize, or management X prize. The name X prize originates from a
sponsored contest to develop private space travel. The Y prize is
one of an arsenal of potential natural financing incentives called X
prizes. All X prizes never accrue interest no matter how long it
takes to achieve its associated goal, but are/should be consistent
with a non-profit mandate. The Y prize is subordinate to all other
financial obligations (except common shares). The Y prize is paid
from future surpluses. The Y prize does not necessarily imply a non
profit mandate, or social ownership. Common shareholders can
appreciate the motivational advantage of a Y prize.
Success (X) prizes
are appropriate for other endeavours. Speculative research can
deserve a success prize upon achievement of the research goal.
Amount of a success prize, and its payment rank, and funding need to
be established before any rights behind it are established. Any
project within an enterprise can have a success prize to motivate the
project team. Such success prizes are typically just bonus deferred
compensation, but can also have some cash component.
Sub-Projects
An enterprise is
made up of multiple projects. Some can naturally be profit centres,
for example a cohousing development wanting to pool funds together
for farming equipment that is mostly needed for the use of its
members, but could be rented to neighbours. Even profit centre
projects have separate cost centre and revenue centre operations.
Rental operations, Advertising, accounting/admin, acqusition and
maintenance of the machines.
Sub projects will
require an “executive” and funding. The funding part
makes sense to come from the parent enterprise if the parent
enterprise will receive most of its benefits. The parent will
generally have better access to funding (cheaper rates). Subprojects
are discussed further after an example enterprise is outlined. The official difference between a sub-project and an enterprise is that the sub-project has all liabilities covered by its owning enterprise.
Assets, distress, enterprise value
Traditional
finance has a more complex model, but I postulate that natural
economic feasibility of an asset always exists if the sum of
surpluses and disposal/terminal value of the asset is 2 times the
cost of the asset. Short term, non depreciable or very safe
assets can have economic feasibility as well, as calculated by
traditional finance models using discount rates close to risk-free
rates.
When each
individual asset is secured by loans tied to it, then those loans are
less risky, and can be made at a lower interest rate. To enable a
QCSL to give security to the lenders, and to handle distressed or
other asset sales, secured QCSL pools can have their principal
secured like traditional loan pools, while their interest returns are
queued.
Intrinsic Natural value, vs Market
value
Market value is
the price goods are bought and sold. For most consumer products, the
resale value once out of a store is substantially less. One measure
of Intrinsic value is the resale or ebay value. Accounting standards
attempt to estimate intrinsic value of assets by deducting
depreciation simplistically over its life. The intrinsic value of
land or limited resources tends to increase over time, but the
connection to market value is not absolute. While the fashion value
of a location and jurisdiction for land is transient and ephemeral,
the fashion value is intrinsic as long as it lasts. Some assets can
have their intrinsic value sharply increased by transformation and
labour. 1 ton of steel has higher intrinsic value by turning it into
a working car, and raw land has its intrinsic value increased by
building power generation, drilling a well, or transforming part into
a farm. The intrinsic value of an asset is its repossession
value to lenders
Math properties of Investor QCSLs
Generic accounting
standards use cost to approximate both market value and intrinsic
value.
99.9%+ of
investors would consider that a perfectly safe intrinsic value of
land is at least 50% of its market value cost.
Canadian and
international banks consider a 75% loan to value to merit their best
interest rate offers, and not require payment insurance. The
public's ability to invest in such intruments generally costs them
200 basis points in management fees. The risk profile is typically
the same as a government bond.
For a startup
company, the risk profile to lenders of going up to 90% loan to value
(for real estate) is relatively minimal in its impact on demanded
yield compared to the costs of funding unsecured debt for 15% (90-75)
of the value. Banking standards still require no payment insurance,
and rates are 50 to 100 basis points higher than 75% LTV.
Tools and machines
have depreciating intrinsic value based on whether they are new or
used (they become used after you buy them new), and whether
recommended maintenance, repairs, and theft security measures are
performed.
By keeping initial
intrinsic value conservatively low, and depreciation formula
aggressively fast, then intrinsic value or expected liquidation value
can be maintained conservatively throughout the life of the asset.
Compound vs
Simple interest
Compound interest
is a traditional tool for bankruptcy and distress management.
Natural Finance uses simple interest throughout because:
- Marketing benefits of higher coupon print
- Higher rate when paid early.
- Lower effective rate when paid late provides more runaway debt protection.
- Overall math and debt cancellation procedures are simpler.
- As seen in next section, some payments (depreciation related) directly reduce principal.
Investor QCSL categories: Secured vs
unsecured
Investor QCSLs can
be separated into 2 categories for the mutual benefit of investors
and borrowers.
UQCSL – unsecured
has the first priority of payment. It receives all revenues
less an operational reserve meant to cover ongoing expenses.
SQCSL – secured
have many similarities to traditional secured loans in that they
have mandated scheduled repayment amounts. Each loan is secured by a
specific asset. The intrinsic value
of an asset is a conservative estimate of the asset's liquidation
value and its depreciation profile (expected annual depreciation of
liquidation value) as set with the help of the comptroller. The aim
of the comptroller is to achieve a credit worthiness of the asset
backed loan similar to the current credit worthiness of the SQCSL
pool. Secured loans are queued in the order made for the purposes of
order paid from general surpluses, however, each asset has its own
queue, with its own natural rate, and payment terms, even if the target natural rate for each is identical.
The
mandatory payment terms (1st payment stream)
for each asset backed loan queue are designed to keep the loan
balance at its asset's liquidation value. Each loan in an asset
class (not in queue order) is paid, each period, the asset backed
queue's natural interest rate (or 10% if it's above 10%) (deducted
from interest on the loan) + the asset's depreciation for the period
– scheduled maintenance contribution to liquidation value
(deducted from principal on the loan). These payments are funded
through new UQCSLs, or if the company is under distress paid with
UQCSL credits issued at the cap rate (30%), if it is unable to get
new funding. In a 2nd payment stream,
each secured queue is also further paid down through a tithe on
profit contributions closest to that asset. Tithe based payments are
paid in queue order. All secured QCSLs join the UQCSL (in last queue
position) if the asset is sold or destroyed with any underpaid loan
balances.
Analysis
The natural
interest rate of an asset is the average of all current accepted bids
and resales. Because each investor is paid the natural rate instead
of their bid rate, even if the total pool balance remains equal to
the backed assets liquidation value as a result of the 1st
payment stream, lower than average bidders at the head of the queue
have their loans paid down slightly, while high bidders have their
loans accumulate slightly.
If the asset
seller agrees to take part in financing (20% of intrinsic value) the
asset at an agreed liquidation value and depreciation schedule it
adds critical market based credibility to the price paid, and
liquidation value. This credibility for other investors is
especially enhanced if the seller agrees to a position at the back of
the queue.
The secured
position of investors is in queued order. So even if the assessed
liquidation value is inaccurate, those at the head of the queue are
safe. Since expected interest rates are lower for secured debt, it
is to the enterprise's advantage to maximize the secured loan by
attempting to secure the asset for more than its intrinsic value.
Extrinsic market secured value allows the enterprise and
investors willing to to take moderate risk to take advantage of the
opportunity. A $100K purchase cost asset could have an intrinsic
value of 80% of its cost, but an arguable market value of 100% its
cost. If the average intrinsic bid (first 80k) is for 8%, and the
average bid on the last 20% of “extrinsic” value is 12%,
then the intrinsic natural rate is 8% and the extrinsic natural rate
is (6.4+2.4) 8.8%. The 1st payment stream uses the
instrinsic natural rate for periodic payments to all queue holders.
Organic pay downs (2nd stream) of the queue move all
queue-holders forward. New investors to the queue may choose to
either buy in to the intrinsic or extrinsic queues (through
appropriate natural bid rates). A new investor buying into the
intrinsic queue gets placed at the 80% percentile in the queue. For
an investor at the 81% percentile in the queue, he would move forward
into the 80th percentile if either a 2nd stream
organic paydown, or an extrinsic buy in of $1000 is made. Subsequent
intrinsic buy ins would move him forward additionally.
Asset Protection/insurance
Protecting assets
from damage and theft is key in being able to fund loans on those
assets at low rates. An alternative to expensive full replacement
value insurance is to have other stakeholders liable for
self-interested protection from damage and theft, and to focus on
giving asset backed lenders business continuity. The likelihood that
a car is stolen is under 1% per year (in USA). Car theft insurance
is priced at 3-5% per year. The likelihood of a collision is 1 per
500k miles driven, 3% per year for average driver. Guestimating
damage per collision, 2% of car value at risk per year due to
collision. Collision insurance rates likely priced at 4-6% per year.
A risk of 300-400 basis points on the assets backing a loan, cost
700-1100 basis points to insure externally.
Asset Operator
incentives to not lose or break the asset is essential to having
lenders accept some risk for such an event. Success prizes for the
asset outliving its depreciation schedule, and operator ownership of
20% of the asset, achieved through deferred compensation
contributions if necessary. Insurance for liquidation value can be
optional, and an individual investor decision. Claims can be paid
directly to insured investors, and asset replacements bought with new
loans. An advantage of this insurance arrangement is that perverse
insurance motives (destroy property for claim benefits) are avoided:
Management still owes loan amounts after loss of uninsured asset, and
so cannot profit from asset destruction.
Natural Financed Resort example
Comprehensive Example
A resort is to be
opened in 2 years. It is expected to earn an average of $100K in
surpluses per year, and costs $1M to develop.
Development
costs:
500k land, well
drilling, building foundations.
200k wind power
generation and energy storage. This will generate $40k/year in
power, of which $20k will be sold to neighbour utility grid during
low season. $100k in parts replacements are due every 20 years.
100k finishing
(floors, walls, plumbing), landscaping, kitchen heavy equipment. 10
year depreciation
50k misc
entertainment and guest services equipment (linens cutlery),
furniture. Will require $5k per year in replacements
150k in labour
Operations
projections
500k revenues
200k in external
expenses (food, drink, energy, advertising)
200k in labour
Analysis
800K is being
spent on land and fixtures. 500K (land) keeps its intrinsic value for
nearly all buyers. $100k (finishings) keeps most of its value, but
it depreciates over time, and its value is based on a buyer wanting
to keep a resort business and having the same aesthetic tastes as the
borrower.
$200k (power) is a
profit centre that has low operational risk, and low operational
effort. It can allow a high intrinsic value to investors. This
profit centre can be separated from the resort land fixtures by
giving it “right of possession” to its own space on the
land so that this profit centre can be sold independently from the
resort or the land.
Without changing
the whole 800K in land and fixtures, a 50K right of possession for
the power centre makes power costs 250K and land costs 450K.
The 50K in
sundries would tend to be “thrown in” with a resort sale,
but has very low intrinsic value.
150K in labour is
the expected cash value of the labour. The employees would agree to
100k cash and 75k deferred loans, or 50k cash and 200k in deferred
loans. From the lending investors perspectives, all savings in cash
are welcome, even if it leads to higher expenses for the enterprise.
Back of the
envelope calculations show that if the investor were 1 person:
The yield per year
can be over 11% (100/900).
If the capped
payout of 1800K is reached in 18 years, then the very last bond in
queue would have received an ROI of about 5%/year. If it were a
single investor, he would actually have done much better, as the
1800K cap would never be reached: At a 10% average interest rate,
after one year, loan balances are (900*1.10) 990K – 100K =
890K, but principal repaid is (100K / 1100 = 90 loans * 1k) 90K, and
so remaining cap is (2 * (900 – 90)) 1620K. The following
year, 81K in principal is expected to be repaid, and so the remaining
cap will fall to 1458K.
The ROI for a
single investor would be 10% (non compounded) at a 10% interest rate.
After 7.2 years, the unpaid loans reach their cap. ROI would still
be about 10% at a higher interest rate because the higher rates would
make the loans at the middle and end of the queue cap sooner, and
offset the higher returns from the loans at begining of queue.
If the interest
rate was 100%, then the full capped amount of 1800K would be paid in
expected 18 years. The first 50K in queue would earn 100% in 1 year.
The 2nd 50k would earn 100% in 2 years and so on. The
average non-compounded return would be 20.23% per year. The last 50K
returns 5.5%pa non compounded.
At 10% interest
rate, investors in positions about 430-480 (out of 900) would
receive a non compounded return of 14.28%pa for 7 years. All of the
investors in first 480 positions would receive 10% compounded return.
Those in positions past 480 would have their returns capped. The
very last $20k investors will have been paid in 16 years: 6.25%pa non
compounded.
An 11% interest
rate changes little. Positions 422-470 are paid in full after 7
years, and the last $30K investors are paid in 16 years.
Because queue
orders are set by lowest bids get first positions, and early
positions are likely to receive the full return rate, maximizing
investor return involves bidding under the expected company yield
rate. Bidding lower than others is worth it as it makes your
position safer, and your payment safer. The highest bids are likely
to receive the lowest returns, if no new investors buy them out.
Analysis of
deferred salaries and operating costs
The 200K in annual
cash labour costs could be lowered by offering partly deferred
salaries. Payment of investors would be significantly faster if cash
labour costs were 50K/year lower. Doing so is inherently a gift to
investors. Factors influencing deferred compensation:
20% of company
“owned” by executives/employees is a good incentive for
them to care and not walk away.
A priority of
returning a natural yield to investors is needed.
Natural or minimum
wages are not designed to offer much savings room.
High middle class
wages (100K) have substantial investment room.
Royalty tithes
and deferred compensation formulas
Natural base
payment to investors is defined as 5% of investor principal (900K)
All Gross profits
up to the natural base payment “should be” paid to
investors
While employee
QCSL participation is under 10% of investor principal, enterprise
matches 100% of employee contributions to EQCSL. While under 20%,
matches 50% of contributions, and under 30%, matches 20% of
contributions.
Contributions to
Investor QCSLs (not EQCSL) by employees are matched at half the rate.
Employees paid
over 30K/yr have a mandatory 10% deferred contribution on cash salary
above 30K. 25% on cash above 50K, 50% on cash above 75K, 90% on cash
above 100K.
If the natural
base payment to investors cannot be made through mandatory and
voluntary deferred contributions of employees, then mandatory scaling
up of mandatory employee contributions up to doubling them is made
with 200% matching by enterprise (If an individual employee's
mandatory contribution was $20K, up to an additional 20K would be
subtracted from his cash salary, and 60K would be credited to his
investment account. If total employee mandatory deferred
compensation was 200K, the amount short of making the natural
investor base payment was $5K, then only $500 would be subtracted
from this employee's cash salary, and $1500 credit given.)
If enterprise
repayments to investors reach yields of the natural rate or 10%, then
any employee contributions to EQCSL are used to repay EQCSL
investors.
Example
#1 spreadsheet (clickable link)
has a few
simplifying math assumptions and missing features: Deferred labour
compensation is not included (would make investor proposal more
attractive). Miscellaneous assets (furniture/sports equipment) are
treated as a homogeneous maintained depreciating pool instead of
replenished with new equipment. It also uses an impractical, but mathematically easier, reserve of revenue model for dealing with funding continuing operations for analysis, before we introduce a more practical solution.
Revenue/Accounts
Payable Tranche
An enterprise
needs to fund short term day to day operations. Much of it is often
interest free through suppliers. Some part-time direct labour could
also be included, though it isn't in this example. Rules for what
qualifies are set during the enterprise's charter, with some
permissible generality, and the guideline that it pertains to costs
incurred in generating revenue. 80% of such costs qualifying for
short term repayments reflect conservative assumptions that 20% is
general unsecured QCSL obtained from suppliers or others.
Customer Purposed Projects
Purpose holders
of a profit corporation are its shareholders. In a naturally
financed enterprise, the executive decision making is separable from
the financial benefit-holders. Ultimate (unlimited profit ) purpose
does not necessitate decision making input, as shown by government
tax collections. Substantial obligations may be made by the
enterprise ahead of the ultimate purpose/benefit holders.
The most
interested stakeholders in any project are its users/customers. The
cost of a project per customer, is usually significantly higher with
1 customer than with 100. While financing a project is often viable
with a single user, it is more financially viable with many users,
though direction by a single user is more likely to optimize results
for that user.
Customer or Social
Purposed projects are euphemisms for ultimate and unlimited profit
rights for the social and customer purpose-holders. For those rights to be meaningful to
the purpose-holders, constraints on employee cash and deferred
remuneration must be in place either through regulation/contract or
purpose-holder input. For a purpose driven company to have a
meaningful purpose, the chance of ultimate payout to the purpose must
be credible. The comptroller can have an initial rule in declaring
the purpose credible, based on compensation schedules.
Revenue reserve rates and Backstop
bids
Having a low
revenue reserve rate (percentage of revenue set aside for recurring
costs) is only feasible if there is a very liquid lending market for
future loans, which is rare for startups or low revenue companies.
The 2 main strategies to obtain liquidity in future loans, are
incentives for reinvestment of repaid loans, and backstop bids.
A backstop bid is
a contract where a lender will offer to lend up to x$ open for up to
y years either at a fixed interest rate, or at an offset to the
enterprise's natural rate. This serves to guarantee that an offer is
present for up to x$ in loan needs. The backstop bidder's
obligations are fulfilled when a total of x$ in bids are accepted and
x$ in backstop loans are still outstanding, or if y years elapse.
The backstop bidder can lower backstop bid interest rates
temporarily, or make initial bids on secured tranche projects to help
meet his x$ threshold. Backstop bidders can compete with each other
for the right to be positioned as the backstop bidder for various
tranches.
Consideration
given to backstop bidders can be in the form of x-prizes which can be
regulated to not be excessive based on x$, y years, and competitive
interest rate. Such consideration is given when the backstop bids
are at the request/for the benefit of the enterprise to ensure its
operational solvency. The other important reason for a backstop
bidder to materialize is if it's part of a larger agreement to invest
in and encourage an enterprise's project. Typically, a customer for a project that
the enterprise has more (or complementary) expertise in implementing than the customer
has.
Facilitating customer project
initiatives
Natural financing
permits investors with an interest in direction and projects of an
enterprise to influence that direction by funding that direction. A
potential customer interested in a product the enterprise could
produce for him can fund related investments and expenses at a rate
equal or below the enterprise's existing natural rate. An enterprise
will naturally focus on the projects it has funding for, and should
favour projects it can fund more cheaply.
Competition for and from social
purpose privileges
That an enterprise
has designated that its purpose is external to it
(management/labour), does not guarantee any meaningful benefit to
purpose holders. On the other hand, an enterprise that is well
managed with reasonable payroll is attractive to purpose holders.
While purpose holding can be a gift, it can be re-gifted to another
purpose if it was not contractual. Permanent purpose holding can be
contracted for, but more typical is to contractually grant an x-prize
based on actual support given, but temporarily and whimsically grant
ultimate purpose holding based on future whimsical intentions. Social Purpose is granted by social purpose category. Specific (gifted) recipients within that category are reassignable unless contracted.
Noble purposes
include non-executive labour and customers, but more noble (higher
nobility) purposes, in roughly increasing order of
nobility/selflessness, include community, innovation, wider society,
the disadvantaged, and humanity. Divisive purposes include political
and religious purposes. The recommended purpose allocation for a
purpose driven corporation is to allocate a minimum percentage of
purpose to higher nobility, with a maximum (if any) percentage to
divisive purposes. Dealing with government impositions counts as
higher nobility. A purpose driven corporation may of course set part
of its purpose to fixed benefit rates for customers and labour. It
is recommended that the corporation retain flexibility in choosing
specific purpose beneficiaries.
The value of a
purpose beneficiary to an enterprise is how that beneficiary helps
the enterprise, and the beneficiary's PR value: Its nobility and
administrative purity of purpose. The value of an enterprise to a
purpose holder is its ability/likelihood to benefit/pay them.
Employee Compensation Regulation
Investors only
care about the cash compensation given to employees. Purpose-holders
or ultimate shareholders are impacted by high overall compensation
for labour and management by having less left over to pay towards the
purpose. At the startup phase, the promise to purpose-holders is
meaningless, because the success of any enterprise is always
uncertain during startup. In fact, the ultimate purpose must always
be delayable in case of distress, and the possible necessity to
introduce new benefit streams for survival.
Simple Regulations
once the investor tranches are certain to be repaid include limiting
prices (if customer purposed) to limit margin and employee
compensation rates, capping deferred compensation return rates, and
tithing general margins for the purpose(s).
A simple set of
regulations in a purposed corporation, after investors have been
paid:
Cap cash
compensation at $100K per individual.
Cap cash
compensation at 40% of contribution.
Cap total non-R&D
payments of compensation at 70% of contribution.
The above simple
rules promise a 30% post investor return to the purpose holders.
This is a return comparable to established enterprise tax rates.
Evolution of payment and reserve
rates
A company that is
operationally profitable can reserve a portion of revenue for
continuous operating expenses, and so not need to continuously obtain
new funding for existing operations. A less profitable enterprise
could both justify a higher reserve (to avoid more new funding) and a
lower one (to pay back investors and thus have lower interest
funding).
A better approach
than a reserve rate on revenue for the enterprise, is for it to keep
1 month of operational costs in cash or promissed loans below or equal to its
natural rate, and pay out the rest.
Payout rates can
actually be higher than investors prefer. Investors enjoying a high
return from a borrower with good cash flow, prefer slow repayments.
When expected organic repayment time drops below 5 years, 2 years and
1 year respectively, then 20%, 50% and 80% of excess repayments
(respectively) can be paid to the next tranche (employee deferred
compensation) in queue.
Sub-projects and profit tranches
In the example#1
spreadsheet, the wind power electricity generation project is a
profit tranche. It has revenues and costs directly attributable to
the project. This is distinguished from land, well and other assets
as integral to the business, though theoretically sports equipment
rentals could also be a profit tranche/sub project if it wasn't an
integral free service or semi-integral where revenues did not recoup
full direct costs. Other subprojects that can exist in an enterprise
are a real estate division in a law firm, any manufacturing
facilities, and new product models.
All sub-projects
are greed purposed: ultimate surpluses benefit shareholders.
A socialy purposed enterprise remains socially pure if it owns a
greed purposed project, because any surpluses it obtains remain
destined for social beneficiaries.
Sub-projects are
naturally financed, have a tithe on their contributions for loan
queues tied to the project, but the loan queues are fully guaranteed
by the parent enterprise.
Sub project
managers should be given an x prize for successfully paying off
investor loans, and project employees should hold 20% of the loan
value. Sub-project managers may be asked to buy a percentage of
shares (title to percentage of contributions above QCSL tithes), depending mostly on their involvement in sales and generating
business outside of core enterprise function.
An alternative to
a sub-project is to subcontract or join venture. The enterprise
loses complete control of the sub-project, but doesn't need to invest
in it, or be liable for its poor performance. Even if it can gain agreement to a priority of supply, owning
the sub-project will usually be desirable if it can gain better
financing terms, and has the competence to supervise the manager.
Selling the enterprise
Most profits made
by traditional shareholders including founders and private
corporation investors are made when the company is taken over.
Selling a natural financed socially purposed enterprise is selling
its direction authority. It is sold for a severance package if there
is a management change. Keep in mind that greed purposed
sub-projects could be sold instead, and/or granted purposes which are
rights whose beneficiaries can resell, could be sold. The buyer, if it is an
enterprise, is responsible for all of the sellers obligations, so a
competitor wishing to sabotage the company must still pay investors,
as must a company only interested in the seller as a customer or
supplier. A buyer who is an individual should be approved by
investors/comptroller for potential conflicts of interest, but
individuals paying for an asset are presumed to care for it.
The motivation for
a buyer can be hard to understand. The benefits are salaries, right
to success x prize, and control over projects and hiring. The seller
likely has a lot of deferred compensation, and so remains vested in
the continued success of the enterprise. A rational buyer must
either believe he can bring success to the enterprise more
competently or wishes to direct the enterprise to serve other
interests, most honourably (as opposed to interest in destroying the enterprise for competitive purposes), projects that serve other enterprises
controlled by buyer. The former tends to incur risks for little
benefit unless the purchase price is well below a net present value
of potential benefits destined to the current directors. In the
latter motive, the buyer can avoid liability completely by purchasing
or funding one of the enterprise's existing or new sub-projects, and
doing so can bring benefits to the enterprise as a whole, especially
its investors, but also its directors in that future benefits become
more likely sooner. So, the most rational motive for the seller to
sell is for succession: he wants to do something else. A succession
plan can be orchestrated without outside sale of the directorship.
So in a socially purposed corporation, selling the directorship could
be discouraged.
A greed purposed
corporation can be sold because unlimited profit potential can
justify taking the risk to achieve it.
Valuation of potential future
benefits
Net Present Value
(NPV) is the fundamental traditional finance concept. A
discount interest rate is used to calculate today's value of future
cashflows. Low discount rates mean future cashflows are worth more
today than high discount rates. A company's natural (average) rate
is the appropriate discount rate to evaluate its future cashflows.
A
company with an operating surplus of $100K per year, and $500K loans
at 20% interest, has purpose holder value of 0 (excluding value of
hope for improvement) because operations are forever projected to
simply service loan holders. If the loan interest drops to 10%,
then all loans will be repaid in under 8 years, and an interest rate
of 5% would eliminate loan balance in 6 years. 30 years payments of
100K starting in 8 years at a 10% discount rate is worth over 483K
today, and 30 years of payments starting in 6 years at 5% discount is
worth over 1.204M today.1
This means a purpose-holder can create almost $500K for himself, by
simply lending and being repaid in full in 8 years at an attractive
10% interest rate.
Similarly
the value of any deferred compensation is also 0 at the initial 20%
interest rate environment, because it is never projected to be paid.
If 100K in annual deferred compensation (@10%) is introduced, then
the annual pay-down amount becomes 200K. The present value to labour
of the deferred compensation is that compensation because it grows
each year, and will be paid. The purposeholder benefits start
flowing in the same 8 year period if they buy out 20% investors with
10% loans, but their loan is repaid in 3 years instead of 8.
A
subtlety in determining discount rates in this model, is that it's
appropriate to use the attractive natural rate (10%) to discount the
uncertainty of reaching the payment stream, but once the payment
stream begins to kick in, the appropriate discount rate is much
closer to the riskless (5%) rate since payment is near certain. A 4M
x prize paid at 100K/year starting in (hopefully) 8 years is valued
under this model at $840K2.
Purpose holders with benefits junior to the x prize have benefits
valued at only 18,571, (@10%) or 173K at 5% discount rate. Its
noteworthy that a fixed x prize can be worth more than a junior
purpose-holder right to unlimited profits.
Forcibly Converting to Greed
Purposed to sell enterprise
If I
grant society at large 50% of shares in my enterprise, I have
provided society a gift. If I change specific institutional social
beneficiaries, the gift remains even if the recipient doesn't. If
consideration is provided by the purposeholder than it is no longer a
gift, but a contract, and something more tangible than purposeholding
should (recommendation) be offered, such as an x prize. If purpose
holding is a gift, then putting a condition on that gifted financial
right that the world is allowed to purchase it from the gift holder
at twice its appraised value is not an encumbrance that would make a
rational person refuse the gift. A socially purposed corporation
remains socially purposed even if its purpose holders transfer their
benefits to evil cannibal Dick Chenney followers.
The
formula for dispossessing social purpose holders is for the buyer to
pay them 2 times the maximum of [unrecommended consideration paid
for their purpose holding, the present value of purposeholding as measured
by rolling last 12 month period, the present value based on average 12 months over the
last 3 years]. The point of this option is to allow sales of
companies by other companies that can do better, while protecting
social purpose holders. It also incentivizes purpose holders to
support the value of their benefits by helping the enterprise keep an
attractive natural interest rate.
A
rational motive to pay twice the present value of an enterprise
benefit is anticipation that profitability will grow significantly.
If the purposeholders also believe growth is likely, they should bid
down the enterprise's natural rate. Doing so increases the sales
price a takeover must pay.
Sale, Succession, and Distressed
takeover/abandonment
A succession plan
is encouraged because its most likely to keep the interests of
stakeholders aligned with intentions of founders that forged those
relationships. Loyalty and indoctrination alone are sufficient
forces to maintain continuity. After x years of service, a director
can name a successor who is preferably an employee or other committed
stakeholder. A portion of the present value of the x prize the
director would have been entitled to, can be paid (deferred) by the
new director.
To encourage
succession over sale, a sale can cause any deferred compensation owed
to selling director to move to the end of the employee QCSL, and even
half could be queued after the management x-prize.
Pushing out a
director who is performing poorly is mainly done through his choice.
Forcing very low cash salaries while the company makes very little
(under 1%, 5% and 10% of investor principal), means that when
investors lack the confidence to reinvest, or fund new projects, then
the cost of borrowing becomes too high, and the prospects of ever
seeing cash salary increases, or payment of any of his deferred
salary or x-prize vanish. So alternative projects he is exposed to,
even if they might be considered as enterprise sub-projects, are
necessarily more attractive to him. The difference between
succession and abandonment need not be substantial. Under
abandonment, NPV of any director benefits is 0. Distress and poor
performance can put all deferred compensation after the x prize in
queue if not cancelled by uncooperative abandonment.
After abandonment,
a short transition period exists, where other employees take interim
management control, while unsecured lenders decide who should lead
the enterprise, or whether it should be liquidated. People willing
to invest more in the enterprise will be heard louder.
Intellectual Property and semi
social purpose
A lot of readers
might not care about alternatives to greed purposed enterprises. But
they overlook the power of customer purposed enterprises.
Intellectual Property (IP) such as patents, songs, software have
various legal protections. Software and song writing are licenced
universally, with industry trade groups to enforce them. Patents are
licensed capriciously in bilateral contracts. More general ideas
have limited legal protections. All IP depends on its customers to
be accepted. There are alternatives to every idea.
An IP corporation
is recommended to be a single part time employee/director/IP owner
corporation with negligible assets and expenses (unless it was an R&D
project), that has IP licensing revenue, but permits its director to
consult for the licensees for his own benefit. Licenses are
encouraged to be standardized, especially on price, though
administrative fees may reflect all individual clients. A $4M x
prize is paid by license fees above administrative expenses. Each
customer gets an x prize equal to the license fees paid (including
admin expenses). Its normal that administrative fees would increase
slightly after the founder's x prize is paid. Its possible for the
founder to be motivated to resign after his x prize is paid, but he may not be particularly needed anymore.
Administration and Comptrolling of an IP corporation is (can be)
minimal. A banking agreement can take care of distributing revenues,
very few expenses if any. Website admin can be outsourced. Natural
financing of investor loans can come into play usually only if legal
action needs to be financed.
The above
structure serves the inventors need for reward, customers desires to
likely get their licensing fees reinbursed, and society's need to
both foster innovation and prevent monopoly control of ideas.
Taxes
Traditional greed
purposed corporations pay taxes sometimes. There are deductions for
interest, salaries, depreciation and other expenses, as well as
losses from other years.
Its hoped that a
social purposed naturally financed corporation qualifies as a non
profit for tax purposes (no income taxes). X prizes (bonuses) are
obvious expenses when paid. Deferred compensation to employees would
prefer to be deductible when declared, and taxable to the employee
when received. Pension analogies allow this, but limit the amounts
that can be invested. Calling deferred compensation a deferred
interest accumulating bonus is deductible when paid. Fair and
reasonable. Aggressive accounting could use the percentage complete
contract accounting method, since we can estimate a date all
creditors will be paid based on current surpluses, then an amount
owing to an employee scheduled to be paid in 10 years, can have
1/10th its value deducted each year.
Secured Investors
have interest and depreciation paid regularly. The depreciation
payment is return of capital untaxed to them. Secured QCSLs should
be sharia investing “kosher”. Unsecured investors
interest is expensed as it is accrued. Investors would normally have
to realize it as it accrues as well, but can use the uncertainty of
payment to argue they shouldn't have to, until paid. A more complex
accounting arrangement is possible that would treat investor gains as
capital gains (investment is for eventual promise of $2000 discounted for early payment), though should not be necessary if tax authorities
agree with the above fair treatment. When new investors bid into the
queue, even if no money passes through the enterprise's control, an
accounting entry exists paying off an old bond and issuing a new one.
If I were to
design national corporate tax policy, I would replace corporate income tax with
automatic government ownership of 25%-30% of enterprises.
Governments would be paid when dividends are paid. Corporations
would avoid taxes the same way they do now: by hiring and starting
more projects instead of paying back investors. I would more aggressively allow
investments to be deductible from income, and all returns (including
principal) be income, with all revenue and expense recognition
occurring on a cash basis.
Direction after x prize
Bureaucracies are
entirely capable of managing mature organizations, without a profit
incentive for that bureaucacy. Once the management x prize has been
distributed in an external purposed (non management/labour
purposed) corporation, the founder's motivation to stay may be
insufficient. It makes sense for directorship to transfer to purpose
holders after x prize has been paid. If so, since the director would
be reluctant taking on new projects once he commences collecting x
prize (because it would delay collection of it), it also makes sense
for purpose-holders to offer or authorize further incentives for new
projects, and further incentives for management.
Converting a public company to
natural financing
Public companies
are external greed purposed. Shareholders elect a board to direct
management. Minority shareholders are completely powerless, even if
they can sell if they are unhappy, it will be at a likely price (low)
that a powerless buyer would be equally unhappy owning the stock at. Private
external greed corporations put shareholders in an even worse
position in that they cannot monetize their stock easily.
Public corporations have expensive reporting, compliance, and
fundraising costs. Natural financing permits management and
directors the benefits of a private company, while putting investors
in the paid-first position they deserve to be.
Converting a
public corporation is voluntary by all affected stakeholders. It can
be complete, partial, done in stages, and convert bonds, preferred
and common shares. Once natural finance conversion has begun, no new
bonds or preferred shares can be issued, and common share issues are
not recommended..
Bondholders
should be given first priority to convert. Secured QCSLs most
closely fit the bonds the company considers too expensive for it. If
all bondholders converted to unsecured QCSLs, they would all have
enhanced security (demand lower yield) by the fact that they are
first in line to be paid. Unsecured QCSL conversion for bondholders
is essentially a cash redemption of bonds which is sometimes an
enterprise right attached to some bonds. Secured QCSLs also offer
better security to converting bondholders because in a distressed
bankruptcy type scenario, they get theoretically 100% of principal,
and they also receive high yields including a non taxable
depreciation coupon. Those bondholders that do not convert, continue
to have a fixed obligation paid before QCSLs, including principal at
maturity, but they lose relative priority in the event of bankruptcy.
A net positive to convert. Even when converting to natural
financing in a distressed enterprise situation, if the conversion
buys a few years survival, bondholders are substantially incentivized
to convert. Better value to bondholders through natural finance,
means lower borrowing costs to the enterprise.
Preferred
shareholders are the only
group that are economically-forced to convert in order to keep their
relative security and payment regularity. Secured QCSLs match the
payment regularity most closely. Non maturing Preferred shares are
in fact a scam on its buyers, because the principal is never repaid.
The odds that a non-liquor company will eventually (or within 200
years) go bankrupt are over 99.9%. Preferred shares tend not to have
sufficient premium over bonds to understand that risk as properly
considered. From the enterprise's perspective, paying a pre-profit
coupon inflated by the inverse of its untaxed profit rate is
equivalent to a preferred coupon. For example, at a 25% tax rate an
8% bond coupon is equivalent after tax to a 6% preferred share coupon
(for same maturity date). From the investor perspective, forcing the
exchange is forcing a net benefit of additional bond security. In
most countries, on average, there is an equivalent after tax return
to the securities as well. Offering the same optional conversion
options to (converted) bondholders after the exchange, provides the
same optional choice to preferred shareholders.
Common shares
can be converted by either an internal “takeover” bid by
management, a partial substantial issuer bid (bid for up to x
shares). A company with net assets of 500K, making 100K per year,
10000 shares outstanding, and P/E of 10 has a $100 share price. If
half the shares are sold in exchange for QCSLs loans at 10%, then
after 8 years (QCSLs are repaid), without any operational improvement
by the company, net assets are back to 500K, and the 5000 shares
remaining at a P/E of 10 are worth $200. Every rational person who
doesn't have direct oversight of management, and therefore cannot
vouch for its confidence, would prefer to hold QCSLs (ignoring tax
differences) because they are paid faster and more certainly even if
the return is the same. From the enterprise perspective, if it can
pay less than 10% interest rate (almost certain given profile), then
it is net positive to the enterprise and remaining shareholders.
Most successful public corporations should be able to achieve natural
rates close to “riskless” government bonds (under 5%-6%).
Pensions
are a scam/motivational technique on employees designed to keep them
needing work. There are tax advantages for both parties, but
administration fees and restrictions on cashability are net negatives
compared to direct loans/deferred compensation. A pension system can
continue under natural financing and invest its assets back into QCSL
backed projects, but management may find employees willing to invest
more if they provide them with higher returning and more flexible
direct deferred compensation.
Project stages
Concept:
Important but not likely funded.
Set up:
Design completion, acquiring partners and resources for startup
phase.
Start up:
product development, pre-launch preparations
Launch:
door opening, and initial marketing budget.
Presence/ramp
up: Secondary projects, more
marketing facilities. Growth preparations
Growth/Harvesting:
Further projects/growth could be funded organically, but faster not
to.
Financing for each
stage is relatively independent. The baggage of previous investors
accumulates, so the viability of a natural financed project depends
on being frugal at the early stages, ensuring value on all spending.
Concept and setup funding
The comptrolling
organization (CFC) could function as a concept registry, but such a project
is secondary, and not expected to appear until natural financing is
mature. The concept and set up stage are to find out if you want to
make a start up. The setup phase would normally be very short, but
getting financing and partners for startup is not guaranteed fast.
Advice from a
business lawyer or natural finance comptroller can be useful, even if
you delay comptrolled natural financed organization (CNFO). You can
prepare for CNFO recognition/registration by self comptrolling early
activities as follows:
Record any
expenses paid out of pocket. You may grant yourself up to 25% QCSL
rate.
Count up to ¼
of an hourly wage you can command in your local market for your
qualifications, as deferred labour, growing at a rate of up to 15%.
If you have found
an investor to support a cash salary, it should be modest to not
scare future investors with potentially high baggage, and so help
with negotiations including .
Officially
registering as a CNFO can have its advantages even at the setup
stage. It can give other potential investors or suppliers you might
wish to partially pay in QCSLs the confidence that your obligations
to other investors are accurate. Any arrangement with an initial
investor is more secure for that investor, and the initial investor
can act as temporary comptroller. Advantages to founder are that
more exposure to the enterprise can occur, and opportunity for
lowering natural rate and repaying initial investor early.
X prize(s) revisited
The management X
prize is called the Y prize.
A W prize can be
inserted in priority just before the Y prize, at management's
discretion provided that management is not a recipient.
X prizes for
completing startup and launch goals are also possible as long as they
are established at time of CNFO registration, prior to general QCSL
funding. Letters used, should reflect their sequence priority.
The only other X
prizes that may be set after company is registered, are for
sub-projects. These must be approved by the comptroller.
Natural financing
is compatible with common shares. A socially purposed corporation is
equivalent to one where the common shares are owned by social groups.
A socially purposed corporation remains entirely socially purposed,
if the purpose-holders grant management a percentage. After the Y
prize is paid, there is a motivational vacuum for management. After
that event, the purpose holders gain directorship. A socially
purposed corporation remains socially purposed if it grants surplus
percentage rights to others including management. There is even a
way to make those rights time or amount limited...
Common share alternative: Perpetual
rollover Z prize – Queued Dividend Streams
If common
shareholders were paid dividends in a rolling queue, $1, $5, or $10
at a time, all of the traditional rights of shareholders are
respected, as long as the queue order is fair (easy but description omitted).
Turning the right of dividends into a coupon, makes individual
dividend receipts tradeable, and further makes inserting into the
stream temporarily possible. The Z prize stream is any X prize that
has junior priority to the Y prize. Purpose holders (not management)
have full authority over the Z prize, including the power to insert
tranches within the queue at any position for non-purpose-holders, or
by systemic formula.
Once the Y prize
has been paid, and by definition, all deferred labour payments have
also been paid or are current (paid shortly after issued), the best
way to motivate management and labour in a manner aligned to the
future health of the company, is to assign them X prizes targeted to
mature in 1,5, and 10 years. If the purpose-holders decide that a
30% profit incentive to management and labour is appropriate, then if
the enterprise made $1M this year, then the Z prize stream is updated
with $100K inserted after the first $900K (expected payment one year
later), $100K inserted after then next $4M (5 years later), and $100K
inserted after the next $5M after that (10 years later). New
management and labour benefiting Z prize insertions will be made
again next year based on the year's performance. From the purpose
holders perspective, they actually forego 10% for first 4 years, 20%
year 5 to 9, and 30% year 10 onward.
One can argue
significant corporate tax advantages by distributing perpetual z
prizes instead of dividends to shareholders, since one can argue that
it can bring corporate income to 0, and so be non-taxable.
Note also that
assigning non-directorship labour a percentage of the enterprise
fulfils the social purpose mandate. It can be antisocial if the
percentage is too high, as greed and overconfidence in competence to
self manage can easily destroy the enterprise.
Partial social purpose vs social
purposed enterprises
An astute reader
could note that a founder could choose to make his enterprise 80%
socially purposed, keep 20% for himself, and so after it matures (Y
prize paid) approximately the same arrangement of profit sharing is
kept as the previous section (perpetual rollover Z prizes) outlined.
Doing so would either keep 20% of directorship with founder, or he
could structure enterprise such that directorship would never pass
on, and just issue 80% of surpluses to the other purpose/benefit-holders.
Both of these options are permissible under natural financing. A
partially social purposed corporation is a partial greed purposed
corporation though, and its behaviour is fundamentally
indistinguishable from a fully greed purposed corporation.
Its rational to
found a socially purposed corporation, because the promised eventual
transfer of directorship means that helping achieve the Y prize is a
victory for all of the stakeholders. Its especially apparent in the
IP licensing corporation, where customer and social acceptance is
vital to success. But most innovative products or technologies
require any and all acceptance boosts available to it. Retailers can
substantially benefit from customer purposing. Natural resource
extractors can pretend to care through environmental and community
purpose, but would tend not to gain necessary benefit from fully
social purposing.
Purpose holders vs benefit holders
Purpose holders
are those with ultimate/eventual decision authority. Benefit holders
are those with Z prize claims, but are powerless. Though purpose
holders might theoretically not be benefit holders, there is no
rational motivational scenario that would justify the arrangement.
Replacing
government taxation rights with passive benefit holding rights has
substantial social and corporate benefits. Customer purpose-holding
makes more sense than benefit holding if some customers are much
larger than others, and you are rewarding past customer activity
rather than encouraging future activity. Labour minor purpose
holding can balance profitability with safety and stress/ comfort
issues. Community purpose holding can balance profitability with job
creation, air, noise, blight, and water quality. The Greenland
Anti-Melting Project Foundation likely is satisfied with beneficiary
rights from a corporation 1000s of miles away since there is little
the corporation can do directly for it other than funnel it a portion
of surpluses.
Socially purposed corporate action
There is a
mechanism to enable socially purposed actions by the corporation,
even when only social benefit rather than social purpose holders
exist. A benefit (or purpose) holder may forgo up to 2 years of
expected Z stream payments, to force an enterprise related project
with a net cost of 150% worth of the foregone benefits. For example
an environmental beneficiary expecting $100K in “dividends”
over the next 2 years could initiate a cleanup (mess caused by
enterprise, or enterprise equipment designed for cleanup) or emission
reduction project with a NPV cost of $150K. The company can also
elect to cancel specific Z prize streams for 80% of the cost of a
project that is deemed to benefit the benefit holder. For example,
sponsoring a youth sports team for $10K would allow the enterprise to
cancel $8K of community benefit stream payments.
One of the most important company initiated Z prize cancellation is for an innovation purpose. Where it can engage in speculative R&D funding, which might otherwise be hard to finance if the success chances are low.
One of the most important company initiated Z prize cancellation is for an innovation purpose. Where it can engage in speculative R&D funding, which might otherwise be hard to finance if the success chances are low.
The purpose of
these mechanisms is to profit from the PR value of serving and
fulfilling social purpose for its beneficiaries. Its easy for social
benefit holders to behave identically to greed benefit holders when
they just collect money for remote or unverifiable purposes, and
visibility for the enterprise's social purpose/benefits makes its
social commitments tangible to stakeholders.
1
+/ ((t# 0) , y# 100) % r ^ i.(y+t) [ r =. >: 0.1 [ t=. 8 [
y=.30
483.75
+/ ((t# 0) , y# 100) % r ^ i.(y+t) [ r =.
>: 0.05 [ t=. 6 [ y=.30
1204.47
2
+/ ((t# 0) , y# x) % (t#1) , (r ^ t)* 1.05 ^ i.(y) [ 'r t y x' =.
(>: 0.1);8;40;100
840.508
+/ ((t# 0) , y# x) % (t#1) , (r ^ t)* 1.05
^ i.(y) [ 'r t y x' =. (>: 0.1);48;40;100
18.571
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